An interest rate peg might be better than you think

Active interest rate policy is frequently recommended based on its merits in reducing macroeconomic volatility and being a simple device. Yet, it might be outperformed by an even simpler policy. A peg can be welfare-enhancing and can uniquely be implemented.     

The predictability of security returns with simple technical trading rules

Technical traders base their analysis on the premise that the patterns in market prices are assumed to recur in the future, and thus, these patterns can be used for predictive purposes. This paper uses the daily Dow Jones Industrial Average Index from 1897 to 1988 to examine the linear and nonlinear predictability of stock market returns with simple technical trading rules. The nonlinear specification of returns are modelled by single layer feedforward networks. The results indicate strong evidence of nonlinear predictability in the stock market returns by using the past buy and sell signals of the moving average rules.     

评GB／T14665—1998标准的不足与建议

根据《机械工程ＣＡＤ制图规则》标准存在问题，从使用对象、用词原则性、作图方便等方面指出疑点和不足，提出改进建议和意见。     

对关联交易规则的质疑及改进建议

对当前有关的关联交易规则进行了解读,分析了关联交易的构成要件,结合案例分析了目前关联交易规则存在的问题,并提出了改进建议。     

Kinky perceived demand curves and Keynes–Negishi equilibria

The label "Keynes–Negishi equilibria" is attached here to equilibria in a monetary economy with imperfectly competitive product and labor markets where business firms and labor unions hold demand perceptions with kinks: as posited in Negishi's 1979 book Microeconomic Foundations of Keynesian Macroeconomics . Such equilibria are defined in a general equilibrium model, and shown to exist. Methodological implications are briefly discussed in a concluding section.     

论企业创新与规范化管理的关系——从智猪博弈的视角

企业发展稳定的程度,直接决定于企业基础管理水平的高低。企业基础管理水平的高低,又直接决定于企业规范化管理的程度。企业规范化管理就是通过建立、健全、完善、优化一套公开透明、上下认同、系统完整、行之有效的游戏规则来实施管理。可是,很多企业领导人总担心企业规范化管理会约束员工的创新探索,降低企业的创新力。由智猪博弈故事可知,一个企业有无创新力,与企业管理是否是通过游戏规则的建立、健全来实现无关,而仅仅与游戏规则的内容相关。任何企业组织,要保证创新力,规范化管理都是前提。只有规范化管理,才能建立、健全能激发员工创新热情、积聚员工创新能力的游戏规则。     

从人性的角度认识公共问题的增生与治理

公共问题产生于以相互依赖为主要特点的人类社会，人类的本性与公共问题的生成之间有着内在的因果联系以及互动机制，对人性特点的认识和把握直接影响着对公共问题的认识和研究，也是政府有效治理公共问题的出发点和重要依据。     

我国外汇市场动量效应的实证研究——基于改进的MA交易规则

本文构建了改进的MA交易规则,运用13600种策略对我国外汇市场上的动量效应进行了实证检验,发现存在着显著的动量超额收益,证明“有效市场”理论在中国外汇市场上并不成立。同时,这种超额收益也受到了人民币汇率形成机制改革的显著影响,机制改革后随着汇率弹性的增加和市场供求关系的逐渐体现,动量效应有所减弱,市场逐渐向“理性”发展。     

The cost of collusion：economic thinking on the uniform accommodation price of the hotel industry in Kunming,Yunnan

This paper studies the case of the collusive price of the hotel industry in Kunming by economically analyzingthe unsustainability of the collusive price and instability of collusive organizations, doubts about the collusive behavior,and thinks that the collusive price is not helpful to the development of tourism industry, the pillar industry in YunnanProvince.